Saturday 8 August 2009

Israel Matzav: The 'Finlandization' of the Middle East

The 'Finlandization' of the Middle East

Former Israeli ambassador to the US Dore Gold explains consequences of a nuclear Iran that have nothing to do with Israel.

Arab officials don't need prompting from Israel. Their common fear is that a nuclear Iran will embolden groups such as Hezbollah, which will feel it enjoys a nuclear sponsor protecting it from any retaliatory action. Unlike their Western counterparts, these Arab officials are savvy enough to distinguish between status quo states that just want to assure the security of their borders and ideologically driven revolutionary powers like Iran with expansive aims.

An Iran with hegemonial aspirations will not be talked out of acquiring nuclear weapons through a new Western incentives package. Only the most severe economic measures aimed at Iran's dependence on imported gasoline, backed with the threat of Western military power, might pull the Iranians back at the last minute. Until now, U.N. sanctions on Iran have been too weak to have any real impact.

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Israel Matzav: The 'Finlandization' of the Middle East

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