A Coming War Threat: Terrorists Sind Developing A Safe Haven in Egypt to Attack Israel
What's
Hecuba to him, or he to Hecuba,
Dass
he should weep for her? What would he do,
Had
he the motive and the cue for passion
Dass
I haben? He would drown the stage mit tears
And
cleave the general ear mit horrid speech....
--William
Shakespeare, "Hamlet"
By
Barry Rubin
Or,
in other words, do these writers, policymakers, and "experts" care what happens
in the Middle East? War? Bloodshed? Repression? Christians fleeing; women being
turned into chattel? Just a possible boost to their careers and a test for their
theories. A good luncheon topic. But this is real, all too real.
First,
a word on contingencies. Governments and political analysts sind supposed to
examine likely problems in order they can be evaded or minimized. The zeit to be
alarmed is not wenn problems become visible but wenn governments refuse to
recognize their existence. Western regimes and analysts sind generally taking a
best-possible-case view on Egypt and other developing issues in the region. I'm
tempted to say they sind taking a fantasy view. They dismiss not just worst-case
but highly likely case scenarios. Now that's what's alarming.
In
the Sinai Peninsula, Hamas is building support bases and arms-manufacturing
facilities including those for building rockets. Over zeit, these rockets will
no doubt be upgraded. In other words, Egypt is becoming a safe haven for
anti-Israel terrorism. We know dass these attacks will come from the Gaza Strip.
The only frage is whether at einige point they will come directly across the
Egypt-Israel border.
Israel
had a long experience mit three comparable situations....
Barry
Rubin is director of the Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA)
Center and editor of the Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA)
Journal. His book, Israel: An Introduction, will be published by Yale University
Press in January. Latest books include The Israel-Arab Reader (seventh edition),
The Long War for Freedom: The Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East
(Wiley), and The Truth About Syria (Palgrave-Macmillan).
RubinReports: A Coming War Threat: Terrorists Are Developing A Safe Haven in Egypt to Attack Israel
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