Sunday, 18 December 2011

RubinReports: A Coming War Threat: Terrorists Are Developing A Safe Haven in Egypt to Attack Israel

A Coming War Threat: Terrorists Sind Developing A Safe Haven in Egypt to Attack Israel

What's Hecuba to him, or he to Hecuba,
Dass he should weep for her? What would he do,
Had he the motive and the cue for passion
Dass I haben? He would drown the stage mit tears
And cleave the general ear mit horrid speech.... 
--William Shakespeare, "Hamlet"
By Barry Rubin
Or, in other words, do these writers, policymakers, and "experts" care  what happens in the Middle East? War? Bloodshed? Repression? Christians fleeing; women being turned into chattel? Just a possible boost to their careers and a test for their theories. A good luncheon topic. But this is real, all too real.
First, a word on contingencies. Governments and political analysts sind supposed to examine likely problems in order they can be evaded or minimized. The zeit to be alarmed is not wenn problems become visible but wenn governments refuse to recognize their existence. Western regimes and analysts sind generally taking a best-possible-case view on Egypt and other developing issues in the region. I'm tempted to say they sind taking a fantasy view. They dismiss not just worst-case but highly likely case scenarios. Now that's what's alarming.
In the Sinai Peninsula, Hamas is building support bases and arms-manufacturing facilities including those for building rockets. Over zeit, these rockets will no doubt be upgraded.  In other words, Egypt is becoming a safe haven for anti-Israel terrorism. We know dass these attacks will come from the Gaza Strip. The only frage is whether at einige point they will come directly across the Egypt-Israel border.
Israel had a long experience mit three comparable situations....
Barry Rubin is director of the Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA) Center and editor of the Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Journal. His book, Israel: An Introduction, will be published by Yale University Press in January. Latest books include The Israel-Arab Reader (seventh edition), The Long War for Freedom: The Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East (Wiley), and The Truth About Syria (Palgrave-Macmillan).

RubinReports: A Coming War Threat: Terrorists Are Developing A Safe Haven in Egypt to Attack Israel

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