Tuesday, 9 February 2010

Israel Matzav: Where are things headed with Iran?

Where are things headed with Iran?

Following up on war games that show the US and Israel not stopping Iran's development of nuclear weapons, Rick Richman passes on an exchange that took place with Assistant Secretary of State PJ Crowley on Friday and concludes

Nine months past Clinton’s assurance, two months past the “deadline,” it is apparent that no groundwork has been laid. The discussions are just beginning; it will be a “very long process”; the administration is unenthusiastic about pending legislation authorizing “crippling” sanctions.

You don’t have to be part of a Harvard think tank to see where this is headed.

I'd like to hear where you all think things are heading. As I see it, there are only two possibilities: (a) Iran develops a nuclear weapon and the world either 'learns to live with it' or doesn't and Iran either attacks Israel and some other countries or doesn't; or (b) Israel attacks Iran and at least sets back the nuclear capability (hopefully) and all hell breaks loose or it doesn't.

My view is that (b) - Israel attacks Iran - is the far more likely scenario. What do you all think? Do any of you see other possibilities? (And for those of you pushing for an EMP attack - I view EMP as a part of (b)).

And since it will be the middle of the night here when this post goes up, you all have at least an hour or two to think about it before I release the comments - but I will try to get to it before I run off to synagogue at 5:55 am.

Israel Matzav: Where are things headed with Iran?

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